Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.430019 0.553813 0.687935 0.842137 1.012804 1.194406 1.400815
2025-05-25 0.219803 0.371544 0.556457 0.788237 1.062705 1.370652 1.736250
2025-06-01 0.115933 0.263418 0.464679 0.735205 1.071423 1.461929 1.937982
2025-06-08 0.059658 0.196839 0.408738 0.712625 1.105930 1.575288 2.158889
2025-06-15 0.033128 0.163409 0.388872 0.729037 1.182344 1.733431 2.427654
2025-06-22 0.013085 0.126539 0.355175 0.720573 1.222709 1.844668 2.638249
2025-06-29 0.002303 0.092840 0.317653 0.700665 1.243823 1.928998 2.813935
2025-07-06 0.000300 0.083608 0.320636 0.738624 1.340871 2.107395 3.103178
2025-07-13 NaN 0.078194 0.329396 0.784571 1.448329 2.298756 3.408264
2025-07-20 NaN 0.071840 0.334616 0.824225 1.546754 2.478480 3.699076
2025-07-27 NaN 0.074433 0.359066 0.894442 1.687636 2.712653 4.057267
2025-08-03 NaN 0.071491 0.370422 0.943383 1.798846 2.908883 4.368809
2025-08-10 NaN 0.058192 0.357002 0.954512 1.861664 3.049106 4.619402
2025-08-17 NaN 0.034030 0.306586 0.900403 1.830627 3.067728 4.719709
2025-08-24 NaN 0.016241 0.258098 0.842503 1.789455 3.069602 4.795963
2025-08-31 NaN 0.007871 0.230875 0.818502 1.795141 3.131127 4.945369
2025-09-07 NaN 0.005133 0.226195 0.836070 1.862426 3.274417 5.198211
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001848 0.208871 0.826994 1.888364 3.361661 5.379349
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000110 0.186862 0.805575 1.893878 3.420399 5.523386
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000054 0.194454 0.846389 1.996187 3.610795 5.836553
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000061 0.205942 0.895696 2.111935 3.819686 6.173722
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000031 0.214251 0.938177 2.217067 4.014221 6.492602
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000260 0.237614 1.013245 2.373415 4.278797 6.901794